“Mera Thursday ka PnL dekh ke lagta hai Brihaspati Dev ne mujhe ignore kar diya! 😂

Whereas it might sound entertaining to affiliate buying and selling with astrology/numerology,it appears like an irresponsible perspective in direction of rational investing.Not one thing to encourage in of us who’re already in search of patterns the place there are none.

Anyhow, to every their very own.

A key challenge is that human brains are pattern-recognition machines that developed to seek out patterns for survival,however monetary markets typically include vital random parts that our brains interpret as significant patterns,even when they’re truly simply noise.

Few examples of merchants in search of patterns the place there are none

Market Timing Fallacies

Calendar results – believing sure days/months are inherently bullish/bearish
Lunar cycles and inventory efficiency correlations
Seasonal patterns utilized too broadly with out contemplating altering market circumstances
Time-of-day patterns which may be statistical noise

Statistical Misinterpretation

Sizzling streaks and chilly streaks – believing previous wins/losses predict future outcomes (gambler’s fallacy)
Clustering phantasm – seeing significance in random groupings of wins/losses
Affirmation bias patterns – solely noticing indicators that verify current positions
Survivorship bias – focusing solely on profitable sample examples whereas ignoring failures

Technical Evaluation Overinterpretation

Head and Shoulders patterns in random worth actions – formations typically seen in noise
Assist and resistance ranges drawn on charts with inadequate statistical significance
Chart patterns like triangles, flags, and pennants recognized in random stroll information
Fibonacci retracements utilized to each worth motion, no matter market context

Conspiracy Sample Looking for

“Sensible cash” manipulation – attributing each adversarial worth motion to institutional conspiracy
Choices expiration pinning – believing market makers at all times manipulate costs to max ache ranges
Algorithmic suppression theories when trades don’t go as anticipated
Coordinated assaults on particular shares or crypto with out proof

Social Media Sample Searching

Sentiment evaluation of social media as predictive indicators
Uncommon choices exercise interpreted as insider information
Correlation buying and selling between unrelated belongings or occasions
Information cycle patterns that don’t account for basic modifications

Hopefully, this doesn’t encourage of us to lose cash attributable to Market Timing Fallacies primarily based on superstitions.

Not one thing to encourage in of us who’re already in search of patterns the place there are none.

No Saaarrrrr. There are patterns you don’t see. TA is actual.

Edited: in public curiosity

Looks like a manner of amassing individuals’s actual buying and selling information without spending a dime.

there are at all times a number of who confidently declare that technical evaluation doesn’t work . however truthfully I really feel that is simply basic frog-in-the-well pondering.

Right here’s the story

A frog lived all its life in a properly. Sooner or later, a good friend informed him concerning the Atlantic Ocean.“What’s that?” requested the frog.“An enormous physique of water,” the good friend replied.“Twice the scale of this properly?”“Far more.”“Ten instances?”

The frog simply couldn’t grasp something past his personal little world.

Thats the issue—we regularly choose the universe with the scale of our properly. Now apply this to individuals who reject TA solely. With their restricted pattern measurement (you’ve what 200 buddies?), private failures, and slim perspective they conclude “TA doesn’t work” Actually? lol

The Soorya/Solar can maintain 1.3 million earths. uyscuti is estimated to be 1700x bigger than the Solar ,and but, with our tiny little mind—what, three kilos of tissue? we predict we’ve seen sufficient to declare one thing invalid. whats the scale of our mind in comparison with the universe?

If TA didn’t give you the results you want possibly it was your method, your technique, your psychology. however don’t write it off for everybody. On the very least current your views with stability and humility.

Keep curious. Keep open. Don’t be the frog.

Fairly fascinating story concerning the frog. Jogs my memory of how I used to suppose that the world is proscribed to my surrounding life after I was a toddler. Then after I left town for job, my thoughts exploded into the probabilities and issues on the planet.

PS: TA does work.